The 100 Safest Countries For COVID-19: Updated

The safest countries and regions for COVID-19, according to a recent study by The Deep Knowledge Group.

The safest countries and regions for COVID-19, according to a recent study by The Deep Knowledge … [+] Group.

Deep Knowledge Group

The safest country in the world for COVID-19 is now Germany, according to a recently released ranking. Germany is followed closely by New Zealand and South Korea. Switzerland, which was first, has dropped back to fourth. Japan is fifth, and Australia and China are sixth and seventh.

The United States now ranks number 55, still behind Hungary, Vietnam, China, Malaysia, and Bulgaria.

The most dangerous nations?

Somaliland, South Sudan, Afghanistan, and Mali. according to Deep Knowledge Group.

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The Deep Knowledge Group first released a ranking of the safest countries in the world for COVID-19 back in June. Now the think tank has updated its data and methodology and re-issued a report on the safest countries and regions. The ranking isn’t what most people expect: it’s not just about how many infections there are right now, or how many deaths COVID-19 has caused.

Rather, it’s about a complex series of assessments on multiple medical, economic, and political factors. Added up, they increase or decrease a country’s score.

How the Deep Knowledge Group scored countries and regions for COVID-19 safety.

How the Deep Knowledge Group scored countries and regions for COVID-19 safety.

Deep Knowledge Group

If the previous index is any indication, where a country ends up on the list can be contentious. New Zealand has done incredibly well, as have other countries in the Caribbean and south-east Asia.

According to the report, the point is not so much whether a country has been hit hard by COVID-19 yet or not — although that certainly matters — but also whether there’s political will and social acceptance of quarantine and lockdown measures. Whether the national and local governments cooperate well. If a nation has good monitoring and detection and a strong medical system. And, how vulnerable a country is to economic dislocation due to COVID-19, plus how well equipped a country is to handle emergencies.

“Deep Knowledge Group’s new COVID-19 special analytical case study is designed to classify, analyze and rank the economic, social and health stability achieved by each of the 250 countries and regions included in its analysis, as well as the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats or risks that they present in the battle against the global health and economic crisis triggered by COVID-19,” the group says.

All told, Deep Knowledge Group says they looked at more than 140 parameters and considered more than 35,000 data points, both up significantly from June’s report.

Here are the 100 safest countries, according to their report:

  1. Germany
  2. New Zealand
  3. South Korea
  4. Switzerland
  5. Japan
  6. Australia
  7. China
  8. Austria
  9. United Arab Emirates
  10. Singapore
  11. Israel
  12. Canada
  13. Saudi Arabia
  14. Iceland
  15. Taiwan
  16. Norway
  17. Liechtenstein
  18. Hong Kong
  19. Finland
  20. Kuwait
  21. Denmark
  22. Monaco
  23. Luxembourg
  24. Bahrain
  25. Hungary
  26. Netherlands
  27. Qatar
  28. Cyprus
  29. Oman
  30. Andorra
  31. United Kingdom
  32. Vietnam
  33. Estonia
  34. Latvia
  35. Ireland
  36. Turkey
  37. Poland
  38. San Marino
  39. Belgium
  40. Georgia
  41. Greece
  42. Lithuania
  43. Italy
  44. Malta
  45. Russia
  46. Malaysia
  47. Slovenia
  48. Uruguay
  49. Sweden
  50. Brunei
  51. Slovakia
  52. Spain
  53. Czechia
  54. France
  55. United States of America
  56. Croatia
  57. Tunisia
  58. Argentina
  59. Azerbaijan
  60. Thailand
  61. Greenland
  62. Portugal
  63. Maldives
  64. Ukraine
  65. Chile
  66. Brazil
  67. Belarus
  68. Barbados
  69. Rwanda
  70. Albania
  71. Cuba
  72. The Bahamas
  73. Armenia
  74. Romania
  75. Seychelles
  76. Mauritius
  77. Bulgaria
  78. Mexico
  79. Indonesia
  80. India
  81. Paraguay
  82. Peru
  83. Montenegro
  84. Macao
  85. Venezuela
  86. Kazakhstan
  87. Costa Rica
  88. Trinidad and Tobago
  89. Jordan
  90. Dominican Republic
  91. Gibraltar
  92. Sri Lanka
  93. Nigeria
  94. Mongolia
  95. Equatorial Guinea
  96. South Africa
  97. Moldova
  98. Grenada
  99. Republic of Serbia
  100. Colombia

“As vaccine research advances it is becoming more crucial to have in place a more thorough analysis of the spread of virus and various levels of success at prevention and recovery,” Deep Knowledge Group says. “We are only just now emerging from a period of a spontaneous and widespread cessation or reduction of economic activity. Not all devastation wrought on the health and wealth of the global population [is] seen yet.”

Safety scoring for 30 regions around the world for COVID-19.

Safety scoring for 30 regions around the world for COVID-19.

Deep Knowledge Group

Why does the United States score so low?

The United States, according to the Deep Knowledge Group, is “infused with a libertarian ethos,” and is not responding well to calls for lockdowns or mandatory face masks. Also, it’s politically decentralized, and therefore there’s a significant diversity in how different states are treating the pandemic, as well as a clear lack of coordination.

While Canada and the United States had similar patterns of infection early in the crisis, the report says, the two countries quickly diverged later on in the pandemic.

“With their numbers having remained similarly low and insignificant until March, it only took a few days for daily growth in the United States to approach 50%, so that in less than a week the total the number of cases was 5 times greater than in Canada, and 5 days after that it was 10 times greater,” the report states.

One positive in the U.S.: slightly lower death rates.

Countries in the Americas by COVID-19 preparedness and safety assessment.

Countries in the Americas by COVID-19 preparedness and safety assessment.

Deep Knowledge Group

One major success story in South America is Uruguay. It’s the only country in the region that is still open to travel to European nations, and has much lower rate of infection and a low level of COVID-19 deaths as well.

“It is a high degree of social responsibility of its citizens and authorities, that impedes the spread of pandemic,” the report states. “A national health emergency, with associated measures, was declared after the first four deaths, which lead to a much lower number of total incidents in absolute measures and per 1 million of population, as well as to a more or less low level of mortality, despite the fact that 15% of people in Uruguay are 65 years of age and above.”

The full report is available here.

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